"Brexit Means Brexit" But Does Formulation Mean Execution? No.

This is what the EU Referendum looks like to most people I can imagine? And so they also think this is what "Brexit" must/will also look like: From Leave vs Remain punch-up to UK vs EU pile-up?

"As I have said Brexit means Brexit and I firmly believe we will make a success of it, not just for the UK but for our European partners too." ~ Theresa May, UK Prime Minister

A quick word: I've colour coded the above EXPLICITLY to match the two title "posters" (in this blog)

Next, a quick trip down memory-lane. Remember the detractors/"dementors" of Brexit originally posed it like this:-

1. Brexit = Not possible (impossible).
2. Brexit = Not permissible (even if a chance of possible then impermissible).

All of those qualities have been blown-away post EU Referendum. Today we're left with:-

1. Brexit = Poor. ~ Remain (extreme version)
2. Brexit = Big (if true!). ~ Leave (extreme version)

And hence May's remarks:-

"Brexit Means Brexit." - What?

"Making A Success Of It." - How? How Not?

What I want to point out is that pre-Referendum (1,2) were all about Brexit is not formulated so is either impossible/impermissible or both. The argument now is not whether it is possible to formulate it but about executing it: Mainly because various "groups" are at odds and hence "politically" either a poor version (EFTA/EEA) or a very very poor version are to be had or apparently from the other side: The poor version is not Brexit (not Big enough) and the poor, poor version (WTO) is Big!

Jesus Christ.

First, Brexit has been formulated (note this is not the same as executing Brexit):-

FLEXCIT is a full treatment or FORMULATION of "the problem of Brexit".

• FLEXCIT: A Plan For Leaving the European Union
• The Market Solution - FLEXCIT: Flexible Exit and Continuous Development
• FLEXCIT: The Definitive EU Exit Plan (movie and presentation)
• Brexit Monograph Series (life after FLEXCIT)

Bear in mind the talk at Dawlish (Red Cliffs of Dawlish name of this blog is derived from this day/presentation) was in Oct 22, 2014. ("big if true"!) Let's once again go over defining Brexit so we define the problem:-

Brexit (British Exit) = "UK Withdrawal from EU Treaties by Article 50 (only)."

Let's look now at the different groups of Leave and Remain:-

1. Leave: What does "Brexit means brexit" mean to you? It means the above ONLY! I'm just the messenger...
2. Remain: What does "Brexit means brexit" to you? The preceding months have firstly meant "Leave means Leave" in case you didn't get the memo,hopefully by now you have. But you're hopefully now onto the second meaning finally...

Before then a quick recap to clear up the source of confusion:-

• EU Referendum = Hyper-Emotional activity
• EU = Intellectual subject of study
• Brexit = Intellectual subject of study

For many people the EU Referendum was the equivalent of a slug-fest of words and feelings and of course not forgetting everyone's suddenly an expert on how much lying was going on, too. Well most people end up "shit-talking" to each other when emotions are up and it's more of a slagging off match than anything else. In the above "punch-up and pile-in picture" if you were to only see this fist-punching you might think rugby league just a big brawl and not a sport with rules at all...

And so it is with Brexit. Commentators spread their own confusion saying that Brexit cannot be anything else but a Brawl with no rules as per the EU Referendum experience. Fuck you all! There were rules from the careful formulation of the principles and details: You (pl.) just decided not to read the rule-book. I remember Dr. North pointing this out concerning Football: Everyone knows the rules but how many have actually read the rule book of football published by FIFA? So it is with the EU and Brexit and the Referendum on them: Just imagine how much more information is required in this formulation compared to football rules.

As stated the EU Referendum failed to follow the rules and the result was a bit like a nasty punch-up. All the major political organs conspired independently to achieve this result especially the rotten Legacy News-Media and the equally corrupt Westminster system of political representation.

If people have not learnt their lesson yet... then for a second time, if we look at the subjects of the EU and Brexit we certainly do have a full formulation of both of these (The Great Deception explains the EU and FLEXCIT is the superior solution from hundreds for Brexit Formulation with the EU):-

What does this mean for people?

We're going to see the persistent confusion on "EXECUTION" repeatedly dolled up: Just like for the past 2 years we've had neglect of FLEXCIT (ie formulation) so EXECUTION will dominate the Bullshit pumped out to most people. Hopefully it will act as a distraction for the idiots who confuse the emotional referendum pallava with assuming that will be the case with the EU too. On both leave and remain advocate sides. They will be entertained by the punch-up headlines in the media for years to come. I mean only today Sky news managed to drum up Oliver Ilott and Mrs. Barnham (some EU law expert) and just watch the total drivel on the execution speculation on exhibition: See Scribblings From Seaham for more on this tangent: Thought of the day – but not just for today.

Yes bullshit also won the Referendum. People were not fully reassured and hence we're stil stuck with the madcap politics of "execution" trying to placate multiple fractious groups.

Equally because of this, and because of the political system in the UK, our politicians will likely spend as much time attempting to navigate how to EXECUTE Brexit according to the groups and it will end up looking like a punch-up with the EU on the lines of the EU Referendum. Here the questions on how to make Brexit successul will feel interminable because people are not prepared to understand the formulation ie FLEXCIT.

In some ways this fits nicely: People get politicians to distract them with crap. Just look at any other nation and look at their crap politicians also. They're always a bunch asshats! They deal with the execution side of politics shepherding their flocks of sheep. Meanwhile the Civil Service will be or should be full of problem-solvers and they'll insist (Sir Humphrey style) on actually attending to the nature of problems seemingly thwarting democracy through technocracy: More on this from Pete North:

• We must leave the single market - but not yet
• There is no simplifying Brexit 
• Marching orders from Mrs May 
• If it helps, don't think of it as Brexit 
• The EU needs to tread carefully in negotiating Brexit
• Brexit is an opportunity for meaningful Lords reform 

What more people could have been more aware of is "FORMULATION" which stands in for what Mrs. May has to contend with: Brexit means brexit. FLEXCIT successfully formulates the problem. The only problem left is how to execute this amongst different groups suffering various mass delusions.

Fortunately most of these people and most of these politicians can carry on their side-show while gradually the formulation's qualities end up being the only thing left worth doing in deliver "Brexit means Brexit" and "making a success of it" for both the UK and the EU and EFTA/EEA most likely too and perhaps further into the world, others as well.

Execution is ultimately up to the civil and intelligent contribution of the UK voter. It's curious but not unexpected that never before is the voter so "rich" considering access to finding out the relevant and applicable information to aid in understanding which choice to decide upon when voting and yet so few exhibit the "will power" to take up that opportunity. What we're left with is politicians apparently adding value and arranging the execution of decisions in the modern and bizarre way we consider "real politics":-

 Is this the zenith of modern British politics for most people?

Sequential Problem-Solving in Corvids

 

8-Step Sequential Problem-Solving in Corvids

The above diagram shows the sequence of steps a corvid (New Caledonian Crow) has to perform, in the right order in order to be able to collect a food reward:-

1. The Corvid must secure a small stick that it can retrieve, first. (1)
2. It must use this stick to extract (2), (3), (4) stones from separate containers.
3.  It must drop each stone into another container (5) to push a weight (6)
4. To acquire a longer stick (7)
5. To use this to then extract the food reward in yet another container (8).

Here's a video of this process:-

 8-Step Sequential Problem-Solving in Corvids

Referring again to When To Attend/Hold Meetings concerning what is talked about but as important how such group meetings are organize (or not organized) concerning the content of "The Problem" being discussed and the intention to improve more people's understanding of "The Problem" so that we can scale it up to a national vote in our Direct Democracy Popular Referendum, we subsequently noted how essential it is as preliminary work to abstract the essential rules, definitions and contextual concepts with which to create productive communication of understanding, as per Learning & Playing The Rules Of The Game.

It was noted that "scaling up arguments" to more people is very different from "scaling down arguments" to more people which does have a name: "Dumbing Down". Simplification or abtraction of basic headline understanding of various components in "The Problem" that we're discussing is perfectly reasonable to then communicate economically and at a level of understanding different people find necessary. However that arises from correct identification and understanding and definition of the "The Problem" in the first place.

 Because this simple difference as above is not observed, and politicians are in the business of winning numbers of votes, they will resort to the techniques and methods that THEY understand which derive from the above. They won't necessarily understand the problems any more than any one else. For example the Smoothies entreneur Richard Reed, has been speaking recently along with a host of other such "VIP's" in the public eye. Yet these people, businessmen, dignitaries of various kinds don't necessarily understand the problem anymore than anyone else albeit insights from their experiences may be of heuristic value simply because it's not biased source necessarily as it invariably will be from politicians!

Here's the present state of the EU Referendum debate and Brexit discussions Sturgeon's Law:-

The state of "eurosceptic"/EU Referendum Pro-EU and Anti-EU or Brexit Arguments

Even when there are useful or interesting facts, the sheer lack of of "A Guiding Principle" or "Meta-Organization" behind their presentation and dissemination leaves their input value to this "national debate" mostly impaired. Not only this but this "conventional wisdom" becomes it's own "barrier to uptake and understanding" of this subject to more people: Confusion reigns and hence Boredom and Apathy are inevitable results. Pete North (see blogroll) is currently writing about this result Lord Lawson is a bloody fool and Don't get your hopes up. We're stayng in the EU. There's very little surprise in this result as will be explored in the next blog. But for the record there is a conceptual understanding that ties all the seemingly disparate components together.

And yet as Dr. RAE North writes, the people who run the "eurosceptic campaigns" such as UKIP, LEAVE.EU, Vote Leave (just look at these websites to consider how poorly organized their thinking is) are demonstrating 2 things:-

• Our modern politics is so degraded the professional "national decision-makers" demonstrate very low quality in their abilities to think clearly, to problem-solve and to construct arguments on a national, political scale and in fact they thrive on the opposite, on prolonging problems presented as intractable and inducing "national anxiety" as per Our Government: "Ifs, Buts, Maybes"
• It's a 2-way street: The British People are so turned off the subject partly as a deliberate policy by the political Establishment that when the time comes for a Test of Direct Democracy, they're simply not prepared to pass this test and and hence chronically national decision-making invariably will lead to for many people a devaluation of the standard of life they're accustomed to or would wish for their children, not understanding the decision-making drives the state of the economy over the longer time-frame above periodic cycles.

Looking at some of the Eurozone Nations which will make-up the New Federal Structure of the EU in it's upcoming New Treaty, it can't be helped but to consider they need a strong "state" to drive through reforms for this nations, because the structure and organization of them is so inadequate. Effectively what such nations require is an Adult-Child relationship between State>Society. It's an interesting way of considering things, particularly in the UK where the Legacy Media, in particular in it's depiction of our Politicians as a "Ruling Class", "Tory Toffs", "Banker-Xankers" and so on and so forth, is seemingly catering to an audience who enjoys this content more than resolving the practical problems:-

Peter Osborne's: The Triumph of the Political Class

For example the wage increases during austerity: Politicians Pay Rise Until Austerity Measures Can Be Lifted. Looks like there's only x7 signatures... . There's a couple of questions here: Do we in the UK feel as if it time for an Adult-Adult relationship between State-Society? And if we do, perhaps we should start to question the performance of our Political Class more closely compared to the pay they entitle themselves for. As per Lakshmi: Goddess of Prosperity (1) I'm highly sceptical they're value for money.

And to prove it, to show that if Corvids (Crows and Ravens) can use sequential problem-solving, then this is type of problem-solving (minimizing assumptions and maximizing focus through parsimony) what Dr. RAE North's FLEXCIT plan adopts and hence is another Concept Shift away from other Brexit plans which are declarative min-max fallacies (as per Daniel Hannan's energetic but misguided thinking) as opposed to iterative testing and adapting process according to Learning And Playing The Rules Of The Game:-

Connecting the past to the future: A coherent, structured, sequential British Exit (Brexit)

 

 Even understanding the above, you'll still get people who prefer the rule of "sentiment" across millions to "knowledge enhancement" as a way to improve the quality of arguments and hence put "working in action" the real creation of Direct Democracy that then itself becomes the precursor to future democratic reforms of our own governance instead of the "Lip Service  to democracy and progress of our present Political Class.