A Clash Of Kings

"The dog does not bother you, does she? She's a friendly dog and I'm sure she will behave herself."

I've shown the above picture to various people concerning President Putin's meeting with Germany's Chancellor Merkel and mostly everyone finds it a very amusing anecdote and seems to be based more or less in recorded fact, for example on wikipedia the dog, Koni's entry mentions such a meeting. Either way, it's a great anecdote of "A Clash Of Kings", and the attempt to gain some small advantage of perception/image that symbolizes the greater "(A) Game Of Thrones" being played; and the anecdote of the "guest" who has some form of fearful aversion or allergy to pets which ineluctably are drawn to such people with their innocent friendliness, and they either rub their fur coats against such a person (if they're allergic) or press their noses into the groin region or in the case of Merkel are oblivious to the fearful aversion they evoke. But Koni is not "sniffing around" by accident in the diplomatic room... .

In George R.R. Martin's Clash Of Kings, there's an especially piquant scene involving "The Seven Kingdom's" ruling Privy or Small Council in which they concoct a form of propaganda against one of their enemies:-

EU Reform: A Clash Of Kings? "The best lies contain within them nuggets of truth."

"And the best lies contain within them nuggets of truth, enough to give a listener pause... in my experience, the more bizarre and shocking a tale, the more apt it is to be repeated." ~ Lord Petyr Baelish "Littlefinger", A Clash Of Kings, p.209-210.

And this is as per "A Clash Of Kings" a particularly potent form of weapon: To fabricate false arguments against your opponents, so that they end up fighting against an invisible hand and thereby fail to land a real blow on "the perpetrator" themselves and their own "nexus of power": We already looked at the importance of memory in our starting premises in Eurosceptic "Amnesia" vs Brexiteer "Total Memory Recall" and the results of our Legacy News-Media's "amnesia" on the EU Referendum reporting in Understanding The Mountains of Madness and compared this to establishing the historic major pattern of this debate on the EU in Pattern Recognition and the fallacies of our Political Class leading to defective decision-making in  Argumentum Ad Infinitum . All these components can be brought to bear on the UK Prime Minister David Cameron's "EU Reform "euroscepticism" as per Politicians: No Taste, No Style, So Derivative! and his Fallacy of The Middle Way Argument crunching the "political arithmetic" based off public sentiment swings from polling data as opposed to changing the knowledge of the public in the lead-up to the EU Referendum and thereby depriving them of an opportunity to experience enhanced real "direct" democracy, as per Learning & Playing The Rules Of The Game:-

Our modern day "Oracle": Google Trends: "EU Reform" 2005-2015

This shows how effective all the above propaganda has been in stringing along the public a false story on the EU and dragging it on for in the above picture of "news trending" via google data, over a decade. If we simply use the above time-line and apparently we're going to hear about Cameron's Reform plans "soon", it is rational to tell David Cameron that we do not trust him that it is time for him to shut-up and stop lying to us. We just have to look at the above and notice how long we have been lied to without a vote either.

Fortunately this has been well known at EUReferendum.com for sometime, as per most recently Dr. RAE North writes: EU Referendum: there are no negotiations:-

"This cannot be repeated enough times: there are no negotiations. Mr Cameron is perpetrating a charade, an outrageous pretence, going through the motions in order to convince a gullible media and an unknowing electorate that he is striving to deliver a new relationship with the EU."

• Second Class or Slow Lane?
• Are You One Of Cameron’s Useful Idiots? 
• Dominic Cummings' plan: Vote to Leave, Get Remain in a 'Reformed EU' 
• Time waits for no man – so they say

Interestingly the Legacy Media has finally caught up in Peter Oborne's article in the Daily Mail:

"Indeed, Osborne has now helped to arrange for Mandelson — who was twice forced to resign from Labour governments — to become the president of the Great Britain China Centre. This is a prestigious post, which will see him promoting mutual trust and understanding between the UK and China.

Mandelson and Osborne want the referendum to be held at the last possible moment.
 
Britain will not be part of this group and will be given a so-called ‘escape clause’

It means that David Cameron will be armed with powerful weapons to argue for Britain’s continued membership of the EU, even if he fails to win the concessions for Britain that he has said he aims to achieve.

He will be able to argue, very plausibly, that EU membership gives the UK the best of both worlds: that is, we remain part of the wider European trading area, while escaping the onerous burdens of membership of a new European superstate.

This riddle from A Game Of Thrones sums up the public's predicament:-

Where does power reside?

“In a room sit three great men, a king, a priest, and a rich man with his gold. Between them stands a sellsword, a little man of common birth and no great mind. Each of the great ones bids him slay the other two. ‘Do it,’ says the king, ‘for I am your lawful ruler.’ ‘Do it,’ says the priest, ‘for I command you in the names of the gods.’ ‘Do it,’ says the rich man, ‘and all this gold shall be yours.’

"So tell me – who lives and who dies?”

Politicians: No Taste, No Style, So Derivative!

 Club Icon

The above icon is of Harlequins F.C. club. It's adapted from The Harlequin character or "comic servant" a.k.a "zanny".The design of this icon is very good: There's a flamboyance in the colour pattern, the gait is light-of-foot and theatrical with expansive gesture of the arms. For a modern rugby club it's an attractive symbol or badge: The brand is distinct, it's colourful and upbeat and hence I think very marketable. Interestingly a French Rugby Union Club in Paris, Stade Français also opted for an "exuberant" style as you can see at their club site:-

Stade Francais: Style & Sport

I've been to watch matches at both clubs and such experiences tend to be shaped by the attention to all the little details; of which the style of the club's various paraphernalia produce a very impact sense of "group identity" that carries through to the actual matches themselves and build-up on a "match-day". The atmosphere can be very electrifying if the match is well-played and well-contested; becoming very loud and energetic: Tribal to be blunt! Especially at tight moments in the game: Either euphoric collective highs or "baying for blood!" boo-ing and bulging eyeballs! To pick one of many quotes on fashion from Oscar Wilde:-

“Fashion is what one wears oneself. What is unfashionable is what other people wear."

Of note some of the politicians who tend to find favourable publicity based off their image which stands out from the "run-of-the-mill" grey-suit politician look:-

In-Fashion: (clockwise) Jeremy Corbyn, Daniel Hannan, Nigel Farage, Boris Johnson

• Corbyn: The Grizzled, experienced, veteran from the high-seas of life: A humble fisherman of men?
• Hannan: The grand, sweeping, visionary orator of high ideals and noble purpose pointing how "things of this world" thwart our progress.
• Farage: The cheeky-chappie, man about town, holding forth and having a rollicking "last orders", putting the world to rights in the pub!
• Johnson: Breezy and smart-scruffy, somewhat comically and buffoonishly meandering forwards almost in a muddle but equally a witty scoundrel with a cheery, lopsided grin. Bustles about busily like a friendly golden retriever.

 There's nothing surprising about this. In politics to use a model, they're simply adapting their presentation to fit their "target market of voters" or "niche":-

Refraction THEN reflection across the political spectrum

The problems start however when the "reflection" (political arithmetic, party politics) exists without any real bearing on the "refraction" (policy implementation process). To use the model for simplicity, the various differentiated colours are considered the actual politics, and the input from the "white light" is diminished in the the relationship. This we've got a name for:-

Westminster Political-Media Bubble

If we now come onto the question of EU Membership and re-apply the above model prism, for simplification, above: Let's say:-

• RED = Pro-EU Membership = Status Quo
• VIOLET = Anti-EU Membership

We can give a colour to The Middle-Way Fallacy Argument (argumentum ad temperantiam) or "Wilsonian Fudge". And in our EU Arguments this creates a powerful dynamic for winning the argument:-

• GREEN = Middle-Way aka Min-Max "Declarative" Method of "renegotiation/reform/referendum:-

 The latest, hottest, "everybody's talking about it" political fashion: The New Middle-Way Style.

 To bring up crystal clear examples of this:-

New/Latest Fashion Advice: "Both sides of the EU referendum campaign have tough questions to answer"

This is repeated and replicated across the entire News-Media. I'm almost embarrassed to copy and paste from Do David Cameron's EU negotiations really matter at all? such "pearls of conventional wisdom", "demonstrations of so much sensible and considered moderation", and to prove it, "the best in business" of research on the subject:-

"There is ample evidence that Britain could flourish outside the EU: if you have the inclination, read the 1,000-page tome produced by the Business for Britain organisation, previously supported by Lord Rose, which details how the UK would, in fact, “gain influence and prosper” after leaving.

The document is entitled “Change, or Go”, thereby leaving open the option of staying in were Mr Cameron able to pull off a miraculous deal. In reality, though, it is a prospectus for a thriving, stand-alone Britain." 

Matthew Elliott's image: Sensible, diplomatic, reasonable, friendly, safe: All major fashion stores will be selling his latest Referendum Range in 2017.

Another of these "fashion experts" is extolling similar virtues here: If this is perfidy, it works for Britain For Janen Ganesh, the "reflection" is what counts most and hence yet another journalist like Tim Montgomerie who falls into "The Cleverness Trap".

"The Remainers should not overstate their case: a vote to stay is a vote for decades of loveless, defensive diplomacy on Europe’s sidelines. If that is the burden that comes with participation in the world’s largest single market, voters will grudgingly live with it.

There is no clean answer to the conundrum of Britain and Europe. Because the referendum pits true-believing Europeans, who think the question is something as airy as “What kind of country should Britain be?”, against fervent sceptics, who see 1973 as a historic wrong to be avenged, nobody makes the case for fudge.

But fudge works. Fudge is the British way. Fudge is how Britain ended up with the best but not the worst of the European project. And fudge is what will emerge at the end of Mr Cameron’s great democratic exercise, whenever it comes and whatever the official result. The referendum is not a fork in the road. It is a roundabout with no exits." 

Effectively all these people are championing the "fashion designer" called Matthew Elliott's and his taste and style in EU/British Clothes: Neither:-

Status Quo Frames: EU Membership vs Anti-EU Membership = Both unpopular fashion labels.

But, because of the conceptual error as above concerning the "reflection" being all about winning "Swing-Voters" and not encouraging the people to participate in understanding the "refraction" there is the above false dichotomy as we covered in Big Ben: The Four-Faced Liar ; this is actually what all these people are choosing should determine the Referendum result: Not actually understanding the full context around Leave or Remain as we alluded to in How about a nice game of chess?: Not actually solving the problem intelligently to promote progress by understanding it. The results speak for themselves if we perceive them in a recognizable form:-

The above are examples of Gynandromorphism: "A gynandromorph can have bilateral asymmetry, one side female and one side male, or they can be mosaic, a case in which the two sexes aren't defined as clearly." We come back to our "political spectrum colours reflection" model. And this conceptually really is what The Fallacy Of The Middle Way Argument looks like, intellectually, if we discover what the actual nature of the argument really is aka in our model "The White Light" of factually based evidence: The Great Deception and FLEXCIT: The Definitive EU Exit Plan For Britain. All composed with extraordinary depth and breadth of research, of quantity and quality of references to produce a version of a political formal proof.

A free-market of competing ideas does not exist within "The Bubble"; only the latest fashions and political fads

What we come back to is that Politicians are driven by fashions such as in the poles, or the nebulous "public mood". They exert control over the governance of the UK but the price of that is fear of loss of control to forces they cannot predict: "Chaotic or emergent" shocks or shifts in public opinion: They thus pander to the Arguments From Popularity (Argumentum ad populum) and in doing so are the political equivalent of Fashion Victims:-

"Fashion victims are victims because they are vulnerable to faddishness and materialism, two of the widely recognized excesses of fashion, and consequently are at the mercy of society's prejudices or of the commercial interest of the fashion industry, or of both."

We looked at how poorly our politics is cast in The world is a stage, but the play is badly cast.  but this is also true in the sense the people often behave as a captive audience to the politicians, when their opinions en masse are actually what drives the politicians decisions! I've got to say I'm becoming so tired of our News-Media, particularly the ones that fall into the "Cleverness Trap" above: Cleaving to their received wisdom of plausibility as per: Argumentum Ad Infinitum.

Coming back to the beginning where we talked about the strange garb of the Harlequin, a character who came to prominence in the Commedia dell'arte before travelling to and arriving in Britain and thence to the rugby club above. The inspiration for such a character originated in travelling story-tellers such as we might still be familiar with of like-kind troubadours. Some of these people not only entertained through stories, wit and music but also passed on useful information and news from their travels to closed-communities (people would ordinarily not travel further than a few miles from their village).

"Maester Aemon", a character from George R.R. Martin's A Game Of Thrones, bears the "many-linked chains of different metals" of his office

Thus started a tradition for such individuals to take a piece of cloth from each community visited and exchanges of news, information and stories and sow it into their travelling coat as a mark of how far and wide they had travelled and hence how valuable they might be to the communities they were welcomed into.

What is suggested is that people should appreciate from their politicians just how much they really know and hence how valuable they really are beyond their appearances and how much those fashionable images that they cultivate really reflects? This idea is contained within George R.R Martin's fantasy novel series, A Game Of Thrones: The Maesters of the Citidels number of metal strips indicating the level of knowledge they actually know. It's a fashion (chains or patches) that possibly we could do with for our own politicians today.